Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.296592e-01 6.970378e-01 0.888191 1.119561 1.388970 1.689871 2.048419
2025-04-13 2.813320e-01 4.730363e-01 0.725977 1.069651 1.510343 2.043323 2.723280
2025-04-20 1.556655e-01 3.444100e-01 0.633436 1.070052 1.676929 2.457681 3.504726
2025-04-27 8.411830e-02 2.557633e-01 0.563249 1.076349 1.841036 2.875562 4.317840
2025-05-04 3.812785e-02 1.776021e-01 0.478737 1.036828 1.927091 3.188812 5.009574
2025-05-11 1.436985e-02 1.203940e-01 0.404993 0.992169 1.991059 3.467185 5.662165
2025-05-18 5.205018e-03 8.901192e-02 0.367455 0.997576 2.126369 3.849006 6.468597
2025-05-25 9.529118e-04 5.964198e-02 0.316985 0.964356 2.190006 4.123472 7.130598
2025-06-01 1.856992e-04 4.969637e-02 0.313430 1.022712 2.410640 4.642459 8.158199
2025-06-08 1.693076e-07 3.585097e-02 0.287515 1.026276 2.532739 5.012324 8.978539
2025-06-15 NaN 3.203710e-02 0.295661 1.107585 2.799544 5.618082 10.161622
2025-06-22 NaN 2.626657e-02 0.291294 1.157569 3.010410 6.141025 11.233701
2025-06-29 NaN 1.945595e-02 0.276290 1.180674 3.176653 6.606090 12.244393
2025-07-06 NaN 1.162666e-02 0.243272 1.149122 3.234178 6.896038 12.999456
2025-07-13 NaN 7.706797e-03 0.227430 1.160182 3.375532 7.328786 13.982981
2025-07-20 NaN 4.930628e-03 0.213339 1.172430 3.518764 7.768049 14.985197
2025-07-27 NaN 2.195248e-03 0.185301 1.133374 3.550516 8.017089 15.695820
2025-08-03 NaN 7.052704e-04 0.158218 1.087345 3.561056 8.227209 16.347611
2025-08-10 NaN 2.630699e-04 0.147197 1.093858 3.686157 8.640351 17.328374
2025-08-17 NaN 2.460421e-05 0.127143 1.058858 3.713586 8.879649 18.034735
2025-08-24 NaN 1.010706e-05 0.130982 1.121228 3.969244 9.534750 19.421568
2025-08-31 NaN 4.599287e-11 0.121581 1.125132 4.087649 9.944304 20.417499
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.130528 1.211699 4.406641 10.725643 22.028555